Assam Assembly Election: The political atmosphere has started to heat up for the next year’s Assam assembly elections. The state has a BJP government for the last 10 years and Chief Minister Himant Biswa Sarma is also preparing to return to power this time. But the Congress has also launched a big bet. He has made the match exciting by making his MP Gaurav Gogoi the state president. Meanwhile, the figures that have been revealed in the survey conducted by Vote Vibe are very shocking.
Condition in CM race
According to the survey, there is a very close match between Himant Biswa Sarma and Gaurav Gogoi for the post of Chief Minister. 46% of the people want to see Himanta Biswa Sarma again, while 45% of the people want to assign this responsibility to Gaurav Gogoi. The major reason for this collision is the caste and religious balance of Assam, in which the Muslim population is considered to be around 34-40%. This is the reason that the vote blocks of both sides are almost seen on par.
There is anti -incumbency, but not trusting the option
In the survey, 50% of the people appeared dissatisfied with the current government. 36% very angry and 14% angry, but when asked which party is better for the development of Assam, then 50% people chose BJP and 40% of Congress. It is clear that despite resentment, there is a feeling of stability about BJP.
People angry with the MLA, but not from the party
The most interesting part of the survey came to light when people were asked if they would like to change their current MLA. 75% of the people said yes, but 40% of these people are those who are only angry with the MLA and not the party.
Loss of Congress without AIUDF
In 2021 there was an alliance of Congress and AIUDF, which led to a difference of only 1.5% between BJP and Congress vote share. But in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, this alliance broke and BJP got a 10% lead. If the Congress does not go with AIUDF even in the assembly elections, then the BJP’s path may be easy. However, the Congress is seen in a position to compete without AIUDF.