- Hindi news
- National
- Delhi exit poll results 2025 live update; Arvind Kejriwal Aap | BJP Congress Seats
New Delhi5 minutes ago
- Copy link
The 70 seats of the Delhi Assembly have been voted at 57.70% till 5 pm on Wednesday. The voting time is over at 6 o’clock, but the people in the line are getting votes. The election results will be declared on February 8, but before that exit polls will come in a while today.
According to speculative market estimates, this time in Delhi, the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) seats may decrease compared to the previous time, although the government will form Kejriwal.
Phalodi Satta Bazaar of Rajasthan has predicted AAP’s 38-40, BJP 30-32 and Congress to win 0-1 seats. 36 seats are needed to form the government.
Delhi has a consecutive AAP government since 2015. Arvind Kejriwal, who was a CM for about 9 years and 7 months after allegations of liquor scam, resigned from the post. After this Atishi became CM.
How correct the exit poll of the last 3 assembly elections was …
What is exit poll Two types of surveys are conducted to know the mood of the public during the election. The survey before voting is called opinion poll. Whereas the survey conducted during voting is called exit poll. Generally the results of the exit poll are released one hour after the last phase voting is over.
Volunteers of exit poll agencies are present at the voting booth on the day of voting. These Volunteers ask the people returning and ask questions related to the election. Reports are made based on the response of the voters, which shows which the voters are more trend. On this basis, the results of the election are estimated.
Lok Sabha election equation changed in assembly elections In the Lok Sabha elections, AAP and Congress fought 7 seats in Delhi while living together in India block. Under this, AAP contested 4 and Congress 3 Lok Sabha seats, but BJP captured all seven seats.
In all these seats, BJP got a total of 54.7% while India block got 43.3% votes. The win-defeat margin on all seats was 1.35 lakhs on an average. If we look at the results of the Lok Sabha, the BJP seems to get a clear majority. BJP is winning 52 assembly seats.
Although the BJP won seven seats in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections and took a lead in 65 assembly seats, AAP managed to win 62 seats in the 2020 assembly elections. At the same time, BJP got only 8 seats.
Similarly, in the 2014 Prachanda Modi wave, the BJP won the seven Lok Sabha 7 seats and was ahead in 60 assembly seats. But in the 2015 assembly elections, AAP won 67 seats and BJP was reduced to 3 seats.
About 18% in the assembly elections prove to be the kingmaker of swing voters. The Delhi elections are held about 9 months after the Lok Sabha. There is a big change in the voting trend in such a short time. If you analyze the last three assembly and Lok Sabha elections, only swing voters have been determining the power of Delhi.
No CM face of any party other than AAP Apart from the Aam Aadmi Party in Delhi, no party has declared CM face. When AAP returns to power, Arvind Kejriwal is sure to become the Chief Minister. Whereas, three-three names from BJP and Congress are in discussion. However, the Congress does not appear to be forming the government.
The BJP has always been shocking about the Chief Minister, yet the names of Pravesh Verma, Ramesh Bidhuri and Dushyant Gautam are discussed among the common people. At the same time, state president Devendra Yadav, former CM Sheila Dixit’s son Sandeep Dixit and Mahila Congress President Alka Lamba may be the big contender for the post of Chief Minister.
Delhi can get SC Chief Minister The first name in the discussion for the post of CM from the BJP comes from the Jat community. Jats have the highest population among 225 villages out of 364 in Delhi. They have an impact on about 50 seats in Delhi, while deciding to win-win 20 seats. In such a situation, entry can get an opportunity to enter the Jats of other states including Haryana and western UP.
Another name is of Ramesh Bidhuri. They come from the Gurjar community. After Jat, the Gurjar community has the highest population in Delhi. Gurjars affect 9 seats in Delhi.
Apart from these, the third name is of Dushyant Gautam. They come from the SC community. There is not a single Dalit Chief Minister in the country at this time. In such a situation, Dushyant Gautam can be made the Chief Minister if the BJP government is formed.
While issuing the third part of the party’s resolution letter (Manifesto), Amit Shah had said that Arvind Kejriwal had promised to give Dalit CM to Delhi. The government was formed 2 times. Went to jail, then there was a chance, yet the Dalit CM did not make it.