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70 seats in the Delhi Assembly came to 11 exit polls after the voting ended this evening. In 9, the BJP is expected to form a majority and the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) government in 2.
In the polls, BJP is seen getting 39, AAP 30 and Congress one seats. JVC and Pol Diary have also expected to get 1-1 seats in their exit polls.
If the BJP gets a majority, it will return to power after 27 years. Earlier in 1993, BJP won 49 seats and made 3 cm in 5 years. Madanlal Khurana, Sahib Singh Verma and Sushma Swaraj.
The sons and daughters of the three leaders are active in Delhi politics. Khurana’s son Harish Khurana from Motinagar, Sahib Singh Verma’s son Pravesh Verma is contesting from New Delhi. Flute Swaraj is an MP from New Delhi.
The 70 seats of the Delhi Assembly have been voted at 57.70% till 5 pm on Wednesday. The final figures have not yet come. The results will be declared on 8 February. 36 seats are needed to form the government.
Exit poll of 11 agencies on Delhi elections …
3 statements on exit poll
BJP MP Manoj Tiwari- The exit poll I have just seen, I think our results are going to be better than the exit poll. BJP is coming to power with the response we have seen among the people. This is the BJP’s homecoming.
AAP leader Sushil Gupta- This is our fourth election and every time the AAP government was not shown in the exit poll. Arvind Kejriwal has worked for the people of Delhi. The results will come in favor of AAP on 8 February.
Congress MP Gurjit Singh Aujla- Those who used to say that the Congress is not present on the ground, they will see the Congress winning a good number of seats. AAP will not return. No party will get a clear majority. All three parties will get equal seats.
Exit poll from the eyes of Bhaskar cartoonist Hada …
How correct the exit poll of the last 3 assembly elections was …
What is exit poll Two types of surveys are conducted to know the mood of the public during the election. The survey before voting is called opinion poll. Whereas the survey conducted during voting is called exit poll. Generally the results of the exit poll are released one hour after the last phase voting is over.
Volunteers of exit poll agencies are present at the voting booth on the day of voting. These Volunteers ask the people returning and ask questions related to the election. Reports are made based on the response of the voters, which shows which the voters are more trend. On this basis, the results of the election are estimated.
Lok Sabha election equation changed in assembly elections In the Lok Sabha elections, AAP and Congress fought 7 seats in Delhi while living together in India block. Under this, AAP contested 4 and Congress 3 Lok Sabha seats, but BJP captured all seven seats.
In all these seats, BJP got a total of 54.7% while India block got 43.3% votes. The win-defeat margin on all seats was 1.35 lakhs on an average. If we look at the results of the Lok Sabha, the BJP seems to get a clear majority. BJP is winning 52 assembly seats.
Although in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP won the seven seats and took a lead in 65 assembly seats, but in the 2020 assembly elections, AAP managed to win 62 seats. At the same time, BJP got only 8 seats.
Similarly, in the 2014 Prachanda Modi wave, the BJP won the seven Lok Sabha 7 seats and was ahead in 60 assembly seats. But in the 2015 assembly elections, AAP won 67 seats and BJP was reduced to 3 seats.
About 18% in the assembly elections prove to be the kingmaker of swing voters. The Delhi elections are held about 9 months after the Lok Sabha. There is a big change in the voting trend in such a short time. If you analyze the last three assembly and Lok Sabha elections, only swing voters have been determining the power of Delhi.
No CM face of any party other than AAP Apart from the Aam Aadmi Party in Delhi, no party has declared CM face. When AAP returns to power, Arvind Kejriwal is sure to become the Chief Minister. Whereas, three-three names from BJP and Congress are in discussion. However, the Congress does not appear to be forming the government.
The BJP has always been shocking about the Chief Minister, yet the names of Pravesh Verma, Ramesh Bidhuri and Dushyant Gautam are discussed among the common people. At the same time, state president Devendra Yadav, former CM Sheila Dixit’s son Sandeep Dixit and Mahila Congress President Alka Lamba may be the big contender for the post of Chief Minister.
Delhi can get SC Chief Minister if BJP comes If the BJP comes to power, then the first name in the discussion for the post of CM in the party is that of Pravesh Verma. They come from the Jat community. Jats have the highest population among 225 villages out of 364 in Delhi. They have an impact on about 50 seats in Delhi, while deciding to win-win 20 seats. In such a situation, entry can get an opportunity to enter the Jats of other states including Haryana and western UP.
Another name is of Ramesh Bidhuri. They come from the Gurjar community. After Jat, the Gurjar community has the highest population in Delhi. Gurjars affect 9 seats in Delhi.
Apart from these, the third name is of Dushyant Gautam. They come from the SC community. There is not a single Dalit Chief Minister in the country at this time. In such a situation, Dushyant Gautam can be made the Chief Minister if the BJP government is formed.
While issuing the third part of the party’s resolution letter (Manifesto), Amit Shah had said that Arvind Kejriwal had promised to give Dalit CM to Delhi. The government was formed 2 times. Went to jail, then there was a chance, yet the Dalit CM did not make it.
Read this news related to Delhi assembly elections …
57.85% voting in Delhi: 63.83% in North-East Delhi, 53.77% turnout in South-East
BJP and AAP workers clashed in Seilampur, Delhi. The police had to intervene. BJP workers alleged that fake voting was taking place under the guise of burqa here.
Voting for 70 seats in the Delhi Assembly is over. 57.85% of people have cast their votes this time. North-East Delhi has the highest turnout in 63.83% and the lowest in South-East 53.77%. This is the parliamentary constituency of BJP MP Manoj Tiwari. This is the lowest voting in the last 12 years. Read full news …