The war between Iran and Israel has intensified. After the US Air Strikes in Iran by the US, the tension has reached even more peak. Meanwhile, the speculation has also intensified that Iran can close its control Strait of Hormuz and these threats are being made continuously on its behalf, which will not be less than a major shock for the whole world. But the former US Pentagon official has made a big claim about this and said that it will be like suicide for Iran and especially China will not allow it to ban Hormuz.
‘Strait of Hormuz’ is very special
According to a Business Today report, Iran may be threatening to shut down the hormuz Strait, but former American Pentagon officer Michael Rubin says the step will be suicide and knows it well from Washington to Beijing. In fact, Tehran has issued a major warning as the Stress increased after the US-Israeli airstrikes at the three nuclear bases of Iran, under which the Straight of Hormuz can be closed in a few hours.
However, military analysts and strategic experts are doubting this. The Strait of Hormuz is a narrow marine chokpoint and is strategically one of the most important sea oil routes in the world, through which about 20 million barrels of barrels are transported daily.
Such a risk for Iranian economy
According to Michael Rubin, 44 percent of Crude Oil via Hormuz goes to Asia and most of it reaches China and somewhat in India. Therefore, there may be disruption for some time, but it will be like committing suicide to Iran itself. He emphasized that Iran Economy rests on fuel and it means that closing of Hormuz will harm his own economy before harming his opponents. Rubin further said that his army and economy would end.
China will not let Iran take this step!
Now tells why China will not let Iran take such a big step? So according to Rubin, Iran’s largest trading partner and its biggest buyer of its oil plays a calm but powerful role in this equation. Dragon’s energy security will be severely in crisis due to the complete closure of the Straight of Hormuz. With this, the major supply routes will be interrupted under Belt and Road initiative.
Let us know that China has invested hugely in the Iranian infrastractor, which includes rail connectivity like the recent freight train from Sheian to Tehran (Xi’an to Tehran), to strengthen trade connectivity. In such a situation, a regional conflict that cuts the supply of oil and derails the logistics, is not in the interest of China at all.
Expert said- ‘Big difference between saying and doing’
Another analyst has said that China may not publicly oppose Tehran’s rhetoric, but it will definitely use its economic power from behind the curtain. Because, if hormuz is hindered, then the biggest will be the biggest loss to China. However, alternative supply routes, including pipelines from Saudi Arabia and UAE, bypassing Hormuz, may prove to be some relief, but their capacity is limited.
He said that despite such sharp threats given by Tehran, it is as easy to say to the Strait of Hormuz to close. The benefit of Iran will be more damaged than the benefit and China’s energy lifeline will also be in crisis.